Description: This paper explores available disability experience data in order to shed some light on the character and extent of the subjective influences which affect the frequency and duration of disability. A mathematical model for computing disability income premiums and reserves is also presented.

Description: A recent study sheds light on the measurement and implications of the relationship between increased morbidity and declining disability. The results were not consistent across all populations. This study of the compression of morbidity is part of a wider project called the M-project, led by the four authors, which aims to explore the demographic factors leading to an increase in the adult longevity, investigate the phenomenon called the compression of mortality and develop a new methodological approach to longevity analysis with focus on the modal age at death M.

Description: In this paper a method is described for pricing - and reserving for- return of premium benefits under disability income policies. Followed by a discussion paper

Description: This session is about health insurance cash-flow testing through liability and asset modeling for individual disability income insurance and health valuations. From Record of Society of Actuaries Vol. 19, No. 1B.

Description: A simple short-term disability model is developed, where the loss process is comprised of two processes: new claims process and continuing claims process. This results in a surplus function with stationary dependent increments. Three dimensional transitional probabilities are needed to model the transitions of this non-Markovian process. An approximating model with stationary independent increments is found. The approximating model leads to bounds for the finite probability of ruin. Numerical comparisons are made.

Description: The presenters will discuss predictive analytics as applied to recent group life and disability experience studies and other applications.